LPSN Directional Game Plan

The Verdict

SKIP Stand aside — no clean edge · Conviction low

Signals conflict and there is no clean trend edge on LPSN. This is the rare stand-aside: wait for the tape to resolve rather than force a position.

Skipping is a position too — protect capital until the technical picture aligns.

Bull score 2.5 Bear score 2.5 Net 0.0

What Confirms / What Invalidates

Aligned with the chart: the call follows the daily trend structure, not a hunch.
Holds while: Re-engage long on a daily close above the 20-day high ($2.70).
Wrong if: Re-engage short on a daily close below the 20-day low ($2.00).
Event context: near-term implied move 25.81% vs prior earnings average 11.19%.

Spot$2.32LPSN last quote

DirectionSkipConviction low

Unusual Premium$0.000 qualifying contracts

News Tape7365 day lookback

Technical Setup

What The Indicators Say

Close $2.35 versus EMA8/21/50 at $2.27 / $2.33 / $2.54.
RSI 49.0, MACD histogram 0.041, ATR 6.13%.
5D 11.37%, 20D -11.32%, relative volume 1.24x.
price above 21 EMA
MACD histogram improving

Event Study

Prior Earnings Moves Set The Volatility Bar

Average absolute reaction: 11.19%.
Median absolute reaction: 11.65%.
Average market-adjusted reaction: 0.38%.
Historical up-rate: 75.00%.
Current near-term implied move: 25.81%.

Price Action · 2026-06-02

How LPSN Is Trading

The tape as of the 2026-06-02 close — where price sits in its range, how it is positioned against the moving-average structure, and the volatility it is carrying into the setup.

Last Close$2.35-2.49% day

Day Range$2.33–$2.41closed 20.00% up the range · inside day

5-Day / 20-Day+11.37%-11.32% over 20d

RSI (14)49.0neutral zone

ATR (14)$0.146.13% of price / day

vs 21 EMA+1.02%50 EMA -7.36%

Moving-average stack8 $2.27 · 21 $2.33 · 50 $2.54

20-day range$2.00 – $2.70

To 20-day high / low-12.96% / +17.50%

52-week range$0.39 – $7.54

To 52-week high-68.83%

Relative volume1.24× 20-day avg

Read: price above 21 EMA; MACD histogram improving.

Technical Read · CMT

The Charts Behind The Thesis

One frame at a time, pure price action — no headlines or sentiment on the tape. Use the ‹ / › arrows (or arrow keys) to move through the trend structure, the volatility envelope, and momentum. Every frame shares the same LPSN daily time axis.

Frame 1Trend & Structure

Daily candles · EMA 21 / 50 · pivot trendlines · key levels

EMA 21 EMA 50 Pivot trendlines 20D high / low & last

The desk read

LPSN at $2.35 holds a clean uptrend — price above a rising 21-EMA ($2.33) and 50-EMA ($2.54). The rising pivot-low line projects support near $2.00; the pivot-high line runs through $2.52. Trend is constructive but stretched — price sits about -7.48% over the 50-EMA into the print, so the line in the sand for the thesis is the 20-day range $2.00–$2.70.

Frame 2Volatility Envelope & VWAP

Daily candles · Bollinger Bands (20, 2) · rolling VWAP 20

BB upper / lower BB basis (20) Rolling VWAP

The desk read

Price is riding the upper Bollinger Band (~$2.62) with band width near 30.40% of the basis — volatility is rich, not cheap. Rolling VWAP sits at $2.29, far below spot, so there is no nearby mean-reversion magnet. With the options market pricing a 25.81% earnings move, the band edges ($1.93 / $2.62) frame where defined-risk premium can be sold outside the expected range rather than chasing price.

Frame 3Momentum · RSI

RSI 14 · 70 / 50 / 30 reference bands

RSI 14 70 overbought 30 oversold

The desk read

Momentum frames the conviction behind the tape. RSI(14) reads 48.97 — constructive but not yet stretched, leaving room before a momentum extreme. MACD (-0.10) sits above its signal (-0.14), so trend momentum is still expanding into the event. For a defined-risk premium seller, a neutral oscillator into earnings argues for selling the move, not predicting it.

Directional Scorecard

How The Data Picks The Side

Every technical signal is scored for a bull or bear lean, then summed. The net is the call — and it has to agree with the trend on the chart above. Skipping only happens when the evidence genuinely cancels out.

Signal	Reading	Lean
Moving-average stack	Above the 21-EMA but not fully stacked	▲ Bull
Primary trend (50-EMA)	Price -7.36% vs the 50-EMA	▼ Bear
MACD (12/26/9)	Line above signal, histogram positive	▲ Bull
20-day momentum	-11.32% over 20 sessions	▼ Bear
5-day momentum	11.37% over 5 sessions	▲ Bull
RSI (14)	49.0 — neutral zone	– Flat
Relative strength vs SPY	Lagging (-11.32% vs 5.79%)	▼ Bear
News tape	Headline flow balanced	– Flat
Net call	Bull 2.5 vs Bear 2.5 → net 0.0	SKIP

The Playbook

Plays For The Call

The generated menu is not the decision. The desk pick below is the structure the report chooses for the current setup; alternates stay visible so we know what to run if the thesis flips.

Primary Desk Play

No primary play generated

No neutral structure was generated from the current chain.

Bullish plays If the thesis flips

Defined-risk directional

Bull call debit spread

Buy $4.00C / sell $6.00C

Net debit$5.00

Expiration2026-06-18

Max profit$195.00

Max loss$5.00

Breakeven$4.05

Return/risk3900.00%

Cleanest way to press the long: profits as price grinds higher, with risk capped at the debit paid.

Objective: Bullish defined-risk trade. Buy the lower-strike call and sell the higher-strike call to reduce the cost of upside exposure.
Makes money: Makes money if price moves above $4.05; max profit is reached at or above the short call strike ($6.00) at expiration.
Loses money: Loses if price fails to rally. Max loss is the debit paid, reached if price expires at or below the long call strike ($4.00).
Best for: Use when the desk wants directional upside but does not want to pay for naked calls into elevated earnings IV.

Shares Game Plan

Should We Buy Common Stock?

Do not force a share entry while the report is skip/range.

Share Thesis

Objective: Let the earnings move define the next trend before buying common stock.

Entry plan: Long shares become cleaner on a reclaim of the 20-day high ($2.70) or a successful retest of the 21-EMA ($2.33).

Invalidation: A close below $2.00 keeps the share plan inactive.

Share Levels

Spot$2.32

Pullback zone$2.25 / $2.40

Breakout trigger$2.70

Invalidation$2.00

First target$2.62

Event target$2.92

Covered-Call Overlay

If holding 100 shares, this call can convert the position into a covered-call income trade, but it caps upside through the strike.

Shares required: 100
Candidate call: LPSN260618C00003000
Strike: $3.00
Estimated credit: $0.00

Stock Risk Note

Use the put side as a downside-reference level; common stock carries full gap risk unless hedged separately.

Reference put: LPSN260618P00001000
Reference strike: $1.00
Expected move: $0.60

Execution Notes

Skipping is a position too — protect capital until the technical picture aligns.

Lead with the selected desk play; the rest of the menu is for alternate or flip conditions.
Re-price every spread at the live bid/ask before entry — these marks are delayed.
Into earnings, IV crush can hurt long premium even when direction is right; debit spreads cap that bleed.

Market Backdrop

SPY: close $759.57, RSI 75.6, 5D 1.20%, 20D 5.79%.

QQQ: close $746.16, RSI 79.4, 5D 2.17%, 20D 10.89%.

Relative strength versus the tape is one of the signals in the scorecard above.

Risk Discipline

Strategy first, invalidation second. The report picks the structure that best expresses the call, then defines what would break the thesis. If the setup does not match the live tape or the spread reprices poorly, the play is no longer the same play.

Unusual Options Tape

Largest Premium Lines

Contract	Type	Exp	Strike	Volume	OI	Vol/OI	Last	Notional	Read

Tape Study · Reference

News Follow-Through

Context only — a tabular study of how the tape behaved after prior headlines, kept off the technical charts. Headlines are from API Ninjas and Twelve Data press releases, pinned to the nearest trading-day close and read against EMA/RSI state at that time.

News Category Follow-Through

Average forward return after a headline in each category, with the sample size (n) behind each window. Returns are only counted once that window has fully elapsed, so longer windows have fewer observations — in this issue the headline feed only spans the last ~5 weeks, so most 20-day windows are not complete yet.

Category	Headlines	Avg 1D	1D Hit Rate	Avg 5D	5D Hit Rate	Avg 20D	20D Hit Rate
analyst	1	-2.49% (n=1)	0.00%	—	—	—	—
ai	3	-5.46% (n=3)	0.00%	-2.31% (n=2)	0.00%	—	—
macro	1	-2.49% (n=1)	0.00%	—	—	—	—
general	1	0.95% (n=1)	100.00%	11.37% (n=1)	100.00%	—	—
product	2	-4.03% (n=2)	0.00%	-1.72% (n=2)	0.00%	1.86% (n=1)	100.00%
earnings	1	7.67% (n=1)	100.00%	-11.50% (n=1)	0.00%	-17.89% (n=1)	0.00%

High-Signal News Events With TA Context

Sorted newest first. pending means the headline is too recent for that forward window to have completed yet; — means no return is available.

Date	Headline	Tags	Close	Trend	RSI	1D	5D	20D
2026-05-31	SoundHound AI's Stock Price Is Down 29% in the Last 6 Months -- Here's Why It Still Could Be a Long-Term Buy the_motley_fool	analyst, ai, macro	$2.41	above_ema21	51.6	-2.49%	pending	pending
2026-05-25	This $8 Stock Could Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status the_motley_fool	general	$2.11	bear_trend	37.1	0.95%	11.37%	pending
2026-05-18	The Bull and Bear Cases for Investing in SoundHound AI Stock the_motley_fool	ai	$2.16	bear_trend	34.6	-6.94%	-2.31%	pending
2026-05-18	2 AI Stocks Under $10 That Could Lead to Long-Term Gains the_motley_fool	ai	$2.16	bear_trend	34.6	-6.94%	-2.31%	pending
2026-05-16	Risky Integration or Rewarding Returns? The Stakes of SoundHound's LivePerson Acquisition. the_motley_fool	product	$2.16	bear_trend	34.6	-6.94%	-2.31%	pending
2026-03-12	LivePerson Announces Event-driven Orchestration Partnership with Coral Active twelve_data_press_release	product	$2.69	bear_trend	38.8	-1.12%	-1.12%	1.86%
2026-03-04	LivePerson to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on March 12, 2026 twelve_data_press_release	earnings	$3.13	above_ema21	53.4	7.67%	-11.50%	-17.89%

Earnings Reaction Archive

Prior Event Study

Date	Timing	EPS Surprise	Revenue Surprise	Pre-5D	Pre-20D	1D Reaction	Market Adj.	Post-5D
2026-03-12	after_market	72.89%	12.85%	-20.18%	-6.60%	-1.12%	-0.54%	-1.12%
2025-11-10	after_market	60.59%	5.35%	-14.80%	-9.34%	14.50%	14.52%	2.48%
2025-08-11	after_market	45.00%	3.82%	34.60%	25.62%	-18.94%	-20.10%	-15.13%
2025-05-07	after_market	5.00%	0.69%	-10.30%	17.74%	8.41%	7.54%	7.61%
2025-03-05	after_market	0.00%	7.14%	n/a	n/a	11.65%	0.40%	17.35%
2024-11-07	after_market	-40.00%	8.98%	n/a	n/a	11.65%	0.40%	17.35%
2024-07-31	after_market	-885.71%	10.07%	n/a	n/a	11.65%	0.40%	17.35%
2024-05-08	after_market	-15.38%	5.54%	n/a	n/a	11.65%	0.40%	17.35%

Current News Tape

Latest Headlines And Analyst Color

SoundHound AI's Stock Price Is Down 29% in the Last 6 Months -- Here's Why It Still Could Be a Long-Term Buy
the_motley_fool | 2026-05-31T11:33:00+00:00
This $8 Stock Could Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status
the_motley_fool | 2026-05-25T04:30:00+00:00
The Bull and Bear Cases for Investing in SoundHound AI Stock
the_motley_fool | 2026-05-18T18:30:00+00:00
2 AI Stocks Under $10 That Could Lead to Long-Term Gains
the_motley_fool | 2026-05-18T15:11:00+00:00
Risky Integration or Rewarding Returns? The Stakes of SoundHound's LivePerson Acquisition.
the_motley_fool | 2026-05-16T19:30:00+00:00
LivePerson Announces Event-driven Orchestration Partnership with Coral Active
twelve_data_press_release | 2026-03-12T12:00:00Z
LivePerson to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on March 12, 2026
twelve_data_press_release | 2026-03-04T21:30:00Z

Methodology And Risk

Desk Notes

All structures are hypothetical, delayed by execution latency, and must be re-priced before order entry.
Earnings options can lose most or all premium even when the directional thesis is right if implied volatility collapses.
Index option flow is often hedging or dealer inventory management, not directional conviction.
This note selects a strategy and an invalidation framework; live fills and changed market conditions can invalidate the play.
volume > 500, open interest > 100, last > 0.10, volume/OI >= 1.25
pandas-ta-classic: EMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, Bollinger Bands, relative volume
prior earnings reaction adjusted against SPY/QQQ where data is available
API Ninjas stock news headline scoring and earnings/analyst tagging; Twelve Data quote/profile/statistics where available
Interactive candles use TradingView Lightweight Charts with Alpaca OHLCV bars.

This memo is for research workflow only. It is not financial advice and does not validate execution liquidity, fills, suitability, or tax treatment.